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Wednesday, May 21, 2008

Betsy Markey Stands a Good Chance Against Marilyn Musgrave

Swing State Project:

Bennett, Petts & Normington for Betsy Markey (5/13-15, likely voters):

Betsy Markey (D): 43
Marilyn Musgrave (R-inc): 36
(MoE: ±4.9%)

The poll pegs Musgrave's job approval rating at 40%, while 51% of voters disapprove of her performance in Congress.

It's an internal poll, so skepticism is expected. But the Musgrave campaign's response caught my eye:

Musgrave supporters, however, said it's much too early to count her out of the race. Guy Short, Musgrave's chief of staff, said a poll done by the Musgrave camp in March showed her leading 47 percent to 42 percent.

Even if Musgrave's internal poll is a more accurate snapshot of this race, a GOP incumbent leading an unknown Democrat by a mere 47-42 margin in an R+8.5 district is hardly a stellar performance. I'll take either set of numbers here.

Marilyn Musgrave is very similar to Michele Bachmann, and represents a similar district. Her constituents appear to be getting tired of Musgrave's antics.