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Wednesday, October 01, 2008

Colorado's Michele Bachmann's Race Listed as Leans Democratic on the Rothenberg Report


In another sign Democrat Betsy Markey is threatening U.S. Rep. Marilyn Musgrave's re-election hopes, the Rothenberg Political Report relabeled its rating of the 4th Congressional District race on Tuesday to "toss-up/tilt Democratic."

Rothenberg had previously rated the race as a "pure toss-up."

Politicker's Pindell Report and the Cook Political Report still rate the race as a "toss-up"; CQ Politics says the race still "leans Republican."

The Rothenberg Political Report's Nathan Gonzales told that the rating change was due to a number of factors, including that -- unlike the past couple elections -- no third-party candidate is running in the 4th District and that Musgrave has a history of close races.

Recent polling, Gonzales said, shows Musgrave has "had a tough time even reaching 50 percent -- and in this environment where Republicans are still on the defensive, it's an extremely tough position for her to be in.

"I think (Musgrave) just had difficulties," Gonzales said. "Despite some of the Republican rhetoric about her remaking herself and changing her image, I don't think we're seeing that play out in the polling numbers."

Also, Gonzales said Markey has "a much broader appeal" than 2006 Democratic nominee Angie Paccione.

"I think she fits the district much better than Angie Paccione did," Gonzales said.

Defenders of Wildlife is running attack ads against Musgrave: